So, the 24th is almost certainly Outer Wilds now that DE is out of the running.
I’m torn between Baba Is You and Control for tomorrow, though. A few people on the staff really liked Control, did they not? Yet BIY is almost objectively more interesting and new. If it is Control we’ll have a tie of the tiebreak on our hands, which would be novel.
In the past 5 Christmases (2014-18) a game has been correctly guessed by every participant only three times (2014 - Shadow of Mordor, 2016 - Doom and 2018 - Subnautica). This year we’re on track to have another three (Untitled Goose, Disco Elysium and Outer Wilds). We’re very likely to surpass the previous maximum score (18/24, or 75%, obtained by Aerothorn in 2015) with two games left. It’s a good year to be guessin’.